Premier League predictions and best bets: Title race tremor! Tottenham to rock Arsenal in north London derby | Football News | Sky Sports
Source: Sky Sports
Published 1 month ago
Our football betting expert Jones Knows provides his insight across the weekend card of Premier League fixtures.
Aston Villa vs Leeds, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Leeds on the double chance at Evens with Sky Bet is a bet that makes plenty of appeal.
Why? Because Villa without Boubacar Kamara are a completely different animal.
Since the start of the 23/24 Premier League season, when Kamara plays, Villa concede just 1.1 goals per game and win 61 per cent of their matches. That's top-four calibre output. He offers such structure, control and protection for the back four. Everything flows through that defensive midfield screen.
Take him out of the equation and the drop-off is dramatic.
Without Kamara, Villa are conceding 1.7 goals per game and their win rate tumbles to 42 per cent. That's not a marginal dip, that's the difference between a Champions League-chasing side and one operating at mid-table levels.
He is the glue that keeps Villa's shape so compact. Without him, they are easier to play against.
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